Thursday, February 11, 2010

Cutting It Close

Baylor pushed for the site.  A lackluster effort out of the bears to be sure.  We missed the Spiders/Rams total by a narrow margin.  Way off on Drexel.  Spot on with Duke.  All in all a bad night.  We will do our best to lead you to a more profitable night this evening.

Spurs vs Nuggets -5.5

The Spurs are at the tail end of their long road trip.  They just played twice in LA and they are headed into the Mountain time zone and high altitude.  Fatigue and looking ahead to getting back home will bog the Spurs down while Carmelo looks 100% back from his injury in the Nuggets recent blowout of the Mavs.  Dallas was in the same spot as the Spurs are here, come off a long west coast swing coming into Denver.  Its a nice place to fade the road team no matter who it is but considering how well Denver played against Dallas, we like the Nuggets here by double digits.

Tenn-Martin vs Jacksonville St. -12

Another swing at our favorite ATS pinata.  We love Tenn-Martin, in that we love fading them.  Even in their win at home against SeMo, they still didn't cover with the Redhawks best player sidelined.  Fade them in this road spot.

Washington vs California -4.5

The Huskies have two very talented players in Poindexter and Isiah Thomas Jr., but they are clearly struggling this season on the road.  We recall taking them on the road as a three point favorite at UCLA and cringing at how close that game was down the stretch with the Bruins winning outright.  In fact, Washington is 16-1 straight up at home and 0-5 at home.  On the other side, Cal is 11-1 at home with some dominant wins and only 4-7 straight up on the road.  We will ride that trend and take the Bears to roll since its the Bears first home game in quite a while.  The crowd should cheer them onto a nice win.

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