Back In Full Force

Overall: 52-39-1 / CBB 50-35-1 / NBA 2-3 / NFL 0-1 | Paid Picks: 26-12

Well guys I am back in full force with more lengthy postings and the usual pics and such.  Our paid play yesterday was Morgan St. -10 continuing our subscribers hot streak over the last few days after a bit of a lull.  Our 3 public plays all hit in our favor.  On a personal note, the SFA -2.5 pick was my biggest wager of the year.

We move into more games where most of the losing teams are done for the season.  Will a team fight to stay alive in hopes of helping their cause with the selection committee or pack it in and roll over?  Has their season been a complete embarrassment?  Have the oddsmakers overvalued them based on regular season results?  Did they play yesterday?  Possibly expending great amounts of energy only to face a superior opponent that also happens to be rested?  These are questions to ask in the days ahead.  South Florida is a prime example.

North Carolina vs Georgia Tech -3.5

Here is a prime example of a wasted season for UNC versus a team with potential to make some noise with GTech.  We love the YellowJackets post players here versus a bad defensive group.  Vegas goofed with this line as it should be at least -6.5.  If we were setting the line it would be more in the range of -9.5.

San Jose St. vs New Mexico St. -4

Talent mismatch and bad line math from oddsmakers yet again.

S F Austin ML -130

I do want to mention something else regarding outlook and expectations.  What is the goal of any capper?  While we will all go on hot streaks, what is the long term expectation?  What is winning?  What can you expect if you buy picks from me or anyone else?

Winning mathmatically over the long haul is 55%.  At that number, you have an edge over the books of just over 2 percent.  This won't pay off your mortgage but it is technically winning.  Now, we all want to do better than 55% and as you can see based on our overall record, we are hitting right now at a far superior clip.  However, if you buy one package of 3 or 8 picks and get medicore results, is that a fair sampling of our paid picks?  Let's say you get 8 picks and we go 4-4 for you.  You've lost juice and you've had to pay for those picks.  Then you decide the picks aren't worth buying so you decide not to re-up with us.  This week our paid picks are hot and you've then missed out.

Point being is that if you believe in a handicapper, whoever that may be, give them at least 2 months before you give up on them.  Most cappers go thru streaks but if they are worth their salt, they will procure you some long term profit.

We are proud to stand by our record moving forward into March Madness and hope to have you on board for the wild, profitable ride it is sure to be.